jingguojiankunuli,muqianyiqingfangkongxingshijijixianghaodetaishizhengzaituozhan。fangkonggongzuoqudedechengxiao,zaicizhangxianlezhongguogongchandanglingdaohezhongguoteseshehuizhuyizhidudexianzhuyoushi。shijieweishengzuzhizongganshitandesaibiaoshi,zhongfangxingdongsuduzhikuai、guimozhida,shisuohanjian,zheshizhongguodezhiduyoushi,youguanjingyanzhideqitaguojiajiejian,xiangxinzhongguocaiqudecuoshijiangyouxiaokongzhibingzuizhongzhanshengyiqing。dangqian,zhengtixingshiyijinruyishouzhuafangkong、一手抓發展,兩手抓兩手都要硬的新階段。
找準增長點在防控中求發展
此ci次ci新xin冠guan肺fei炎yan疫yi情qing暴bao露lu出chu我wo們men在zai防fang範fan重zhong大da公gong共gong衛wei生sheng風feng險xian方fang麵mian的de諸zhu多duo不bu足zu。當dang務wu之zhi急ji,以yi科ke研yan為wei支zhi撐cheng,加jia大da對dui公gong共gong衛wei生sheng設she施shi的de重zhong大da投tou入ru,以yi緩huan解jie疫yi情qing蔓man延yan。但dan每mei每mei想xiang到dao一yi個ge問wen題ti,就jiu不bu能neng不bu令ling人ren倒dao吸xi一yi口kou冷leng氣qi:如(ru)果(guo)再(zai)出(chu)現(xian)第(di)二(er)個(ge)武(wu)漢(han),我(wo)們(men)是(shi)否(fou)還(hai)有(you)餘(yu)力(li)應(ying)對(dui)?實(shi)事(shi)求(qiu)是(shi)地(di)說(shuo),從(cong)非(fei)典(dian)到(dao)新(xin)冠(guan)肺(fei)炎(yan),我(wo)國(guo)公(gong)共(gong)衛(wei)生(sheng)體(ti)係(xi)的(de)短(duan)板(ban)始(shi)終(zhong)沒(mei)有(you)得(de)到(dao)根(gen)本(ben)性(xing)的(de)扭(niu)轉(zhuan),公(gong)共(gong)衛(wei)生(sheng)係(xi)統(tong)在(zai)人(ren)員(yuan)、技術、設備各方麵都遠遠不能滿足我國工業化、信息化、新型城鎮化、市場化、國際化迅猛發展的要求。
我們認為,借此戰“疫”,國家應全麵深化公共衛生、傳染病防治領域供給側改革,解決此領域存在的方向性、係統性、基礎性問題,以此成為推動中國社會與經濟發展的重要引擎。
中zhong國guo經jing濟ji經jing過guo四si十shi餘yu年nian改gai革ge開kai放fang,已yi由you高gao速su增zeng長chang階jie段duan進jin入ru高gao質zhi量liang發fa展zhan階jie段duan,這zhe裏li的de高gao質zhi量liang,應ying該gai是shi全quan方fang位wei的de高gao質zhi量liang,而er不bu僅jin僅jin是shi某mou些xie領ling域yu的de高gao質zhi量liang。中zhong國guo經jing濟ji發fa展zhan的de一yi個ge重zhong要yao引yin擎qing就jiu是shi高gao質zhi量liang的de投tou資zi。盡jin管guan我wo們men越yue來lai越yue重zhong視shi國guo內nei消xiao費fei對dui經jing濟ji的de拉la動dong作zuo用yong,但dan沒mei有you高gao質zhi量liang的de投tou資zi就jiu不bu會hui有you高gao質zhi量liang的de消xiao費fei。我wo們men現xian在zai之zhi所suo以yi強qiang調tiao供gong給gei側ce結jie構gou性xing改gai革ge,其qi根gen源yuan就jiu在zai於yu現xian有you產chan品pin無wu法fa滿man足zu人ren民min群qun眾zhong日ri益yi增zeng長chang的de高gao質zhi量liang需xu求qiu。2010年,消費拉動、出口拉動、投資拉動差不多各占三分之一的貢獻率。近5至10年,中國經濟通過供給側結構性調整,消費拉動快速增長,到2019年消費拉動已經占GDP的60%左(zuo)右(you)。之(zhi)所(suo)以(yi)消(xiao)費(fei)能(neng)夠(gou)在(zai)經(jing)濟(ji)增(zeng)長(chang)中(zhong)作(zuo)出(chu)更(geng)突(tu)出(chu)的(de)貢(gong)獻(xian),在(zai)於(yu)投(tou)資(zi)結(jie)構(gou)投(tou)資(zi)質(zhi)量(liang)更(geng)加(jia)優(you)化(hua)和(he)提(ti)升(sheng),能(neng)夠(gou)不(bu)斷(duan)滿(man)足(zu)消(xiao)費(fei)者(zhe)日(ri)益(yi)提(ti)升(sheng)的(de)更(geng)高(gao)質(zhi)量(liang)的(de)需(xu)求(qiu)。
因此,若要進一步保持經濟的穩定增長和可持續發展,不斷創造新的增長點,形成新的增長動能,必須繼續保持或擴大投資對GDP的de拉la動dong作zuo用yong。投tou資zi拉la動dong經jing濟ji發fa展zhan包bao括kuo民min間jian投tou資zi和he政zheng府fu公gong共gong支zhi出chu所suo轉zhuan化hua的de民min間jian投tou資zi兩liang部bu分fen。現xian階jie段duan,政zheng府fu支zhi出chu還hai有you很hen大da潛qian力li,以yi往wang的de政zheng府fu投tou資zi在zai基ji礎chu設she施shi領ling域yu占zhan比bi較jiao大da,公gong共gong設she施shi投tou資zi(科教文衛等)比重不足。
以醫院為例,1978年全國醫院數量為9293個,2018年為33009個,增長了3.55倍,而同期GDP增長240倍。2018年中國公共衛生領域政府財政支出1.6萬億元,占GDP比重不到1.7%,而歐美發達國家這一比重基本保持在7%-8%deshuiping。jiazhiwoguochengxiangquyufazhandebupingheng,yiliaoziyuanyanzhongbujundeng。yiliaoziyuandejundenghuashishixiangonggongfuwujundenghuadezhongyaoneihan。tebieyaojujiaogongketuopingongjianzhanzuihoubaolei,jiehetuijinxiangcunzhenxingzhanlve,yiyiqingfangzhiweiqierudian,jiaqiangxiangcunrenjuhuanjingzhengzhihegonggongweishengtixijianshe。jinyingjianjichusheshibaokuoyiliaoshebeideng,jiunenggoudailaifeichangpangdadeguoneitouzi,jiashangyihurenyuandejiaoyupeiyangsuoxudeyixueyuanxiaodetouru,nenggouzaijiaochangshiqineiweiwoguojingjidekechixufazhantigongqiangyoulideyinqingzuoyong。
抓住“牛鼻子” 在發展中穩防控
贏得這場戰“疫”,最終靠的是消耗戰。如果沒有四十餘年改革開放成就的雄厚物質基礎、tongdadewangluoxitong,yijiwoguozhiduqiangdadezuzhidongyuannengli,hennanxiangxiangciciyiqingduizhongguojingjihuizaochengzenyangdeyanzhonghouguo。yinci,zaizuohaoyiqingfangkongdetongshi,yaojinyibuquanmianshenhuagaige,weiyingduijinhoukenengdaolaidegeleizhongdafengxiandiandingqiangdawuzhijichu。
此ci次ci疫yi情qing對dui中zhong國guo經jing濟ji的de影ying響xiang呈cheng現xian出chu兩liang個ge特te點dian,一yi是shi時shi間jian短duan,二er是shi衝chong擊ji力li強qiang。短duan期qi的de強qiang力li衝chong擊ji,主zhu要yao表biao現xian在zai相xiang關guan服fu務wu行xing業ye以yi及ji製zhi造zao業ye供gong應ying鏈lian方fang麵mian。疫yi情qing發fa生sheng後hou,大da量liang中zhong小xiao企qi業ye承cheng受shou重zhong壓ya,甚shen至zhi出chu現xian破po產chan倒dao閉bi現xian象xiang。有you機ji構gou調tiao研yan顯xian示shi,受shou本ben次ci疫yi情qing影ying響xiang,85%的企業現金無法維持3個月以上。目前,我國旅遊業對GDP的貢獻已經達到11%左右,直接和間接從業人數超過1個億,疫情衝擊造成的短期就業困難對經濟社會的穩定提出了嚴峻的挑戰。
一旦中小企業生態環境遭到破壞,特別是製造業領域大量中小企業因國內上下遊企業的“休克”性(xing)自(zi)保(bao),因(yin)物(wu)流(liu)中(zhong)斷(duan),尤(you)其(qi)是(shi)國(guo)際(ji)航(hang)運(yun)海(hai)運(yun)的(de)大(da)幅(fu)壓(ya)縮(suo),國(guo)際(ji)上(shang)下(xia)遊(you)企(qi)業(ye)鏈(lian)條(tiao)中(zhong)斷(duan),由(you)於(yu)資(zi)金(jin)鏈(lian)承(cheng)壓(ya)乃(nai)至(zhi)斷(duan)裂(lie)很(hen)可(ke)能(neng)出(chu)現(xian)的(de)破(po)產(chan)倒(dao)閉(bi)現(xian)象(xiang),必(bi)將(jiang)會(hui)對(dui)全(quan)行(xing)業(ye)全(quan)領(ling)域(yu)產(chan)業(ye)鏈(lian)、供應鏈造成難以預計的衝擊。
因此,我們一定要牢牢記取疫情暴露出的短板,緊緊抓住發展的“牛鼻子”。這一“牛鼻子”就是黨的十八屆三中全會明確提出和黨的十九大進一步強調的“使市場在配置資源中發揮決定性作用,更好發揮政府作用”。
改革開放最大的成果就是市場規模的迅速擴張、市場深度的日益延伸,相應的是民營企業特別是中小微企業的發展愈益蓬蓬勃勃。兩者如輔車相依、心神一體,是中國特色社會主義市場經濟不斷深化發展的標誌性成果。
ruguobawoguozheyipangdajingjitiyuweijurendehua,zhongxiaoweiqiyezeshizheyijurendemaoxixueguan,meiyouzhexiemaoxixueguan,shentideyingyangjiubuhuichuandidaoquanshen,jurenjiubujinjinshiyingyangbuliangdewenti,shenzhiyouweijishengmingzhiyu。zheciyiqinghuidaozhixuduozhongxiaoweiqiyekunnanzhongzhongshenzhihuiyoubufendaobi,yigezhongyaodeyuanyinshixianjinliudeduanlie。yiqingmingmingshiduanqide,shuguangjiuzaiqianmian,keyouyixieqiyepianpianjiudaozailimingdaolaizhiqian,duzhibujinlingrenewan。hexinwentijiuzaiyuziyuantebieshijinrongziyuandepeizhimeiyouzhenzhengrangshichangfahuijuedingxingzuoyong。
鑒(jian)於(yu)此(ci),我(wo)們(men)認(ren)為(wei),一(yi)是(shi)要(yao)進(jin)一(yi)步(bu)完(wan)善(shan)金(jin)融(rong)市(shi)場(chang)特(te)別(bie)是(shi)金(jin)融(rong)體(ti)係(xi)結(jie)構(gou)。間(jian)接(jie)融(rong)資(zi)比(bi)重(zhong)過(guo)大(da),直(zhi)接(jie)融(rong)資(zi)比(bi)重(zhong)過(guo)低(di)是(shi)我(wo)國(guo)金(jin)融(rong)市(shi)場(chang)體(ti)係(xi)存(cun)在(zai)的(de)老(lao)問(wen)題(ti)。中(zhong)央(yang)經(jing)濟(ji)工(gong)作(zuo)會(hui)議(yi)多(duo)次(ci)提(ti)出(chu),要(yao)提(ti)高(gao)直(zhi)接(jie)融(rong)資(zi)比(bi)重(zhong),解(jie)決(jue)好(hao)民(min)營(ying)企(qi)業(ye)和(he)中(zhong)小(xiao)微(wei)企(qi)業(ye)融(rong)資(zi)難(nan)融(rong)資(zi)貴(gui)問(wen)題(ti)。有(you)數(shu)據(ju)顯(xian)示(shi),全(quan)口(kou)徑(jing)直(zhi)接(jie)融(rong)資(zi)規(gui)模(mo)占(zhan)社(she)會(hui)融(rong)資(zi)總(zong)額(e)的(de)比(bi)重(zhong),最(zui)近(jin)十(shi)餘(yu)年(nian)基(ji)本(ben)保(bao)持(chi)在(zai)15%左右,而股權融資規模基本在5%左右徘徊。G20國家直接融資比重大多集中在65%—75%區間內,而美國直接融資占整個融資體係的比重更是達80%以上。
二er是shi進jin一yi步bu完wan善shan金jin融rong監jian管guan製zhi度du。通tong過guo完wan善shan監jian管guan尤you其qi完wan善shan監jian控kong資zi金jin流liu向xiang機ji製zhi,防fang止zhi一yi些xie大da企qi業ye透tou過guo實shi體ti金jin融rong化hua渠qu道dao,轉zhuan手shou將jiang從cong國guo家jia金jin融rong機ji構gou獲huo取qu的de優you惠hui金jin融rong資zi源yuan高gao價jia轉zhuan賣mai給gei民min營ying企qi業ye,一yi些xie大da的de民min營ying企qi業ye甚shen至zhi再zai次ci加jia價jia轉zhuan賣mai給gei急ji需xu資zi金jin的de中zhong小xiao微wei企qi業ye。隻zhi要yao有you政zheng策ce和he資zi金jin的de支zhi持chi,市shi場chang自zi會hui通tong過guo第di三san方fang解jie決jue中zhong小xiao微wei企qi業ye融rong資zi難nan融rong資zi貴gui問wen題ti,關guan鍵jian要yao真zhen正zheng使shi市shi場chang在zai配pei置zhi資zi源yuan(特別是金融資源)中發揮決定性作用。
同tong時shi,緊jin緊jin圍wei繞rao中zhong央yang的de部bu署shu要yao求qiu,落luo實shi分fen區qu分fen級ji精jing準zhun複fu工gong複fu產chan,加jia大da宏hong觀guan政zheng策ce調tiao節jie力li度du,全quan麵mian強qiang化hua穩wen就jiu業ye舉ju措cuo,堅jian決jue完wan成cheng脫tuo貧pin攻gong堅jian任ren務wu,推tui動dong企qi業ye複fu工gong複fu產chan,不bu失shi時shi機ji抓zhua好hao春chun季ji農nong業ye生sheng產chan,切qie實shi保bao障zhang基ji本ben民min生sheng,穩wen住zhu外wai貿mao外wai資zi基ji本ben盤pan,打da好hao、打贏這場疫情防控的人民戰爭、總體戰、阻擊戰,圓滿完成2020年經濟社會發展目標任務。